Analyze the impact of factors on gross domestic product across Asian economies under geopolitical risk moderation.

Abstract

This research aims to evaluate the extent to which export performance, the United States M2 money supply, and foreign direct investment (FDI) shape economic growth in China, Japan, South Korea, Viet Nam, Thailand, and Indonesia during 2000 - 2023, while explicitly considering the moderating role of geopolitical risk (GPR Index). The aim of the research is to propose policy implications that reduce the negative moderating impacts of geopolitical risk on economic growth driven by export performance, U.S. M2 money supply, and FDI.